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An estimate of the incidence of influenza-like illness during the influenza pandemic of 2009.

Identifieur interne : 000193 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000192; suivant : 000194

An estimate of the incidence of influenza-like illness during the influenza pandemic of 2009.

Auteurs : Juan B. Bellido-Blasco [Espagne] ; Francisco Pardo-Serrano [Espagne] ; Isabel Ballester-Rodríguez [Espagne] ; Alberto Arnedo-Pena [Espagne] ; M Dolores Tirado-Balaguer [Espagne] ; M Ngeles Romeu-García [Espagne] ; Ester Silvestre-Silvestre [Espagne] ; Noemí Meseguer-Ferrer [Espagne] ; Concha Herrero-Carot [Espagne] ; Joan A. Caylà-Buqueres [Espagne]

Source :

RBID : pubmed:25287416

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The influenza pandemic of 2009 had a great social impact. Many health resources were devoted to the care, prevention and surveillance of this disease. Epidemiological surveillance is based on the reporting of cases of influenza-like illness (ILI) and confirmed influenza cases. The objective was to estimate the true incidence of ILI during the influenza pandemic of 2009.

METHODS

The capture-recapture method was applied during the month of highest influenza incidence in Castellón. Two notification systems were used: (i)electronic reporting of Notifiable Diseases (ND), and (ii)laboratory-based (LAB) data collection. Estimates were made by stratifying by age group and week. Independence coefficients were calculated for those strata.

RESULTS

No dependence was found between stratification variables and the reporting system. A total of 7,181 ND cases and 524 LAB cases were identified, of which 211 were recorded in both systems. The estimated total of cases was 17,785 in a single month. In the study period, almost 4% of people in the area suffered flu symptoms (cumulative incidence), with 1% being affected each day (daily prevalence). The sensitivity of the ND system was 40%, i.e., the percentage of patients seeking primary care.

CONCLUSIONS

To obtain an estimate of the actual incidence of influenza-like illness in the population during a pandemic period, the number of medical consultations should be multiplied by a factor of 2.5. This factor is lower than that estimated for periods without pandemic alert.


DOI: 10.1016/j.arbres.2014.07.009
PubMed: 25287416


Affiliations:


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Le document en format XML

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<nlm:affiliation>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón, España; Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Cardenal Herrera - CEU, Castellón, España; CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, CIBERESP, España. Electronic address: bellido_jua@gva.es.</nlm:affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Tirado Balaguer, M Dolores" sort="Tirado Balaguer, M Dolores" uniqKey="Tirado Balaguer M" first="M Dolores" last="Tirado-Balaguer">M Dolores Tirado-Balaguer</name>
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<name sortKey="Romeu Garcia, M Ngeles" sort="Romeu Garcia, M Ngeles" uniqKey="Romeu Garcia M" first="M Ngeles" last="Romeu-García">M Ngeles Romeu-García</name>
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<name sortKey="Silvestre Silvestre, Ester" sort="Silvestre Silvestre, Ester" uniqKey="Silvestre Silvestre E" first="Ester" last="Silvestre-Silvestre">Ester Silvestre-Silvestre</name>
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<name sortKey="Meseguer Ferrer, Noemi" sort="Meseguer Ferrer, Noemi" uniqKey="Meseguer Ferrer N" first="Noemí" last="Meseguer-Ferrer">Noemí Meseguer-Ferrer</name>
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<name sortKey="Herrero Carot, Concha" sort="Herrero Carot, Concha" uniqKey="Herrero Carot C" first="Concha" last="Herrero-Carot">Concha Herrero-Carot</name>
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<name sortKey="Tirado Balaguer, M Dolores" sort="Tirado Balaguer, M Dolores" uniqKey="Tirado Balaguer M" first="M Dolores" last="Tirado-Balaguer">M Dolores Tirado-Balaguer</name>
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<name sortKey="Romeu Garcia, M Ngeles" sort="Romeu Garcia, M Ngeles" uniqKey="Romeu Garcia M" first="M Ngeles" last="Romeu-García">M Ngeles Romeu-García</name>
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<name sortKey="Silvestre Silvestre, Ester" sort="Silvestre Silvestre, Ester" uniqKey="Silvestre Silvestre E" first="Ester" last="Silvestre-Silvestre">Ester Silvestre-Silvestre</name>
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<name sortKey="Meseguer Ferrer, Noemi" sort="Meseguer Ferrer, Noemi" uniqKey="Meseguer Ferrer N" first="Noemí" last="Meseguer-Ferrer">Noemí Meseguer-Ferrer</name>
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<name sortKey="Herrero Carot, Concha" sort="Herrero Carot, Concha" uniqKey="Herrero Carot C" first="Concha" last="Herrero-Carot">Concha Herrero-Carot</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón, España.</nlm:affiliation>
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<wicri:regionArea>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón</wicri:regionArea>
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<name sortKey="Cayla Buqueres, Joan A" sort="Cayla Buqueres, Joan A" uniqKey="Cayla Buqueres J" first="Joan A" last="Caylà-Buqueres">Joan A. Caylà-Buqueres</name>
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<country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country>
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<wicri:noRegion>CIBERESP</wicri:noRegion>
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<term>Prévalence (MeSH)</term>
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<term>Aged</term>
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<term>Symptom Assessment</term>
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<term>Adulte</term>
<term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term>
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<term>Collecte de données</term>
<term>Dossiers médicaux électroniques</term>
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<term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term>
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<term>Évaluation des symptômes</term>
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<front>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>INTRODUCTION</b>
</p>
<p>The influenza pandemic of 2009 had a great social impact. Many health resources were devoted to the care, prevention and surveillance of this disease. Epidemiological surveillance is based on the reporting of cases of influenza-like illness (ILI) and confirmed influenza cases. The objective was to estimate the true incidence of ILI during the influenza pandemic of 2009.</p>
</div>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>METHODS</b>
</p>
<p>The capture-recapture method was applied during the month of highest influenza incidence in Castellón. Two notification systems were used: (i)electronic reporting of Notifiable Diseases (ND), and (ii)laboratory-based (LAB) data collection. Estimates were made by stratifying by age group and week. Independence coefficients were calculated for those strata.</p>
</div>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>RESULTS</b>
</p>
<p>No dependence was found between stratification variables and the reporting system. A total of 7,181 ND cases and 524 LAB cases were identified, of which 211 were recorded in both systems. The estimated total of cases was 17,785 in a single month. In the study period, almost 4% of people in the area suffered flu symptoms (cumulative incidence), with 1% being affected each day (daily prevalence). The sensitivity of the ND system was 40%, i.e., the percentage of patients seeking primary care.</p>
</div>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>CONCLUSIONS</b>
</p>
<p>To obtain an estimate of the actual incidence of influenza-like illness in the population during a pandemic period, the number of medical consultations should be multiplied by a factor of 2.5. This factor is lower than that estimated for periods without pandemic alert.</p>
</div>
</front>
</TEI>
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<PMID Version="1">25287416</PMID>
<DateCompleted>
<Year>2016</Year>
<Month>06</Month>
<Day>10</Day>
</DateCompleted>
<DateRevised>
<Year>2015</Year>
<Month>08</Month>
<Day>03</Day>
</DateRevised>
<Article PubModel="Print-Electronic">
<Journal>
<ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1579-2129</ISSN>
<JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet">
<Volume>51</Volume>
<Issue>8</Issue>
<PubDate>
<Year>2015</Year>
<Month>Aug</Month>
</PubDate>
</JournalIssue>
<Title>Archivos de bronconeumologia</Title>
<ISOAbbreviation>Arch. Bronconeumol.</ISOAbbreviation>
</Journal>
<ArticleTitle>An estimate of the incidence of influenza-like illness during the influenza pandemic of 2009.</ArticleTitle>
<Pagination>
<MedlinePgn>373-8</MedlinePgn>
</Pagination>
<ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1016/j.arbres.2014.07.009</ELocationID>
<ELocationID EIdType="pii" ValidYN="Y">S0300-2896(14)00326-3</ELocationID>
<Abstract>
<AbstractText Label="INTRODUCTION" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">The influenza pandemic of 2009 had a great social impact. Many health resources were devoted to the care, prevention and surveillance of this disease. Epidemiological surveillance is based on the reporting of cases of influenza-like illness (ILI) and confirmed influenza cases. The objective was to estimate the true incidence of ILI during the influenza pandemic of 2009.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">The capture-recapture method was applied during the month of highest influenza incidence in Castellón. Two notification systems were used: (i)electronic reporting of Notifiable Diseases (ND), and (ii)laboratory-based (LAB) data collection. Estimates were made by stratifying by age group and week. Independence coefficients were calculated for those strata.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">No dependence was found between stratification variables and the reporting system. A total of 7,181 ND cases and 524 LAB cases were identified, of which 211 were recorded in both systems. The estimated total of cases was 17,785 in a single month. In the study period, almost 4% of people in the area suffered flu symptoms (cumulative incidence), with 1% being affected each day (daily prevalence). The sensitivity of the ND system was 40%, i.e., the percentage of patients seeking primary care.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">To obtain an estimate of the actual incidence of influenza-like illness in the population during a pandemic period, the number of medical consultations should be multiplied by a factor of 2.5. This factor is lower than that estimated for periods without pandemic alert.</AbstractText>
<CopyrightInformation>Copyright © 2014 SEPAR. Published by Elsevier Espana. All rights reserved.</CopyrightInformation>
</Abstract>
<AuthorList CompleteYN="Y">
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Bellido-Blasco</LastName>
<ForeName>Juan B</ForeName>
<Initials>JB</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón, España; Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Cardenal Herrera - CEU, Castellón, España; CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, CIBERESP, España. Electronic address: bellido_jua@gva.es.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Pardo-Serrano</LastName>
<ForeName>Francisco</ForeName>
<Initials>F</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Servicio de Microbiología, Hospital General de Castellón, Castellón, España.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Ballester-Rodríguez</LastName>
<ForeName>Isabel</ForeName>
<Initials>I</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón, España; CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, CIBERESP, España.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Arnedo-Pena</LastName>
<ForeName>Alberto</ForeName>
<Initials>A</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón, España; CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, CIBERESP, España.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Tirado-Balaguer</LastName>
<ForeName>M Dolores</ForeName>
<Initials>MD</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Servicio de Microbiología, Hospital General de Castellón, Castellón, España.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Romeu-García</LastName>
<ForeName>M Ángeles</ForeName>
<Initials></Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón, España.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Silvestre-Silvestre</LastName>
<ForeName>Ester</ForeName>
<Initials>E</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón, España.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Meseguer-Ferrer</LastName>
<ForeName>Noemí</ForeName>
<Initials>N</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón, España.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Herrero-Carot</LastName>
<ForeName>Concha</ForeName>
<Initials>C</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Sección de Epidemiología, Centro Salud Pública de Castellón, Castellón, España.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Caylà-Buqueres</LastName>
<ForeName>Joan A</ForeName>
<Initials>JA</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Servicio de Epidemiología, Agència de Salut Pública de Barcelona - ASPB, Barcelona, España; CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, CIBERESP, España.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
</AuthorList>
<Language>eng</Language>
<Language>spa</Language>
<PublicationTypeList>
<PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType>
<PublicationType UI="D013485">Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't</PublicationType>
</PublicationTypeList>
<ArticleDate DateType="Electronic">
<Year>2014</Year>
<Month>10</Month>
<Day>05</Day>
</ArticleDate>
</Article>
<MedlineJournalInfo>
<Country>Spain</Country>
<MedlineTA>Arch Bronconeumol</MedlineTA>
<NlmUniqueID>0354720</NlmUniqueID>
<ISSNLinking>0300-2896</ISSNLinking>
</MedlineJournalInfo>
<CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset>
<MeshHeadingList>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D000293" MajorTopicYN="N">Adolescent</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D000328" MajorTopicYN="N">Adult</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D000368" MajorTopicYN="N">Aged</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D002648" MajorTopicYN="N">Child</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D002675" MajorTopicYN="N">Child, Preschool</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D019411" MajorTopicYN="N">Clinical Laboratory Techniques</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000706" MajorTopicYN="N">statistics & numerical data</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D003625" MajorTopicYN="N">Data Collection</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D016208" MajorTopicYN="N">Databases, Factual</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D018563" MajorTopicYN="N">Disease Notification</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D057286" MajorTopicYN="N">Electronic Health Records</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D005260" MajorTopicYN="N">Female</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D015994" MajorTopicYN="N">Incidence</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D007223" MajorTopicYN="N">Infant</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D007231" MajorTopicYN="N">Infant, Newborn</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D007251" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza, Human</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="Y">epidemiology</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D008297" MajorTopicYN="N">Male</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D008875" MajorTopicYN="N">Middle Aged</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D058873" MajorTopicYN="N">Pandemics</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D010342" MajorTopicYN="N">Patient Acceptance of Health Care</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000706" MajorTopicYN="N">statistics & numerical data</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D011159" MajorTopicYN="N">Population Surveillance</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000379" MajorTopicYN="Y">methods</QualifierName>
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<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D015995" MajorTopicYN="N">Prevalence</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D011320" MajorTopicYN="N">Primary Health Care</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D012141" MajorTopicYN="N">Respiratory Tract Infections</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D013030" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">Spain</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D063189" MajorTopicYN="N">Symptom Assessment</DescriptorName>
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<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D055815" MajorTopicYN="N">Young Adult</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
</MeshHeadingList>
<KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM">
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Captura-recaptura</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Capture-recapture</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Estimación</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Estimation</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Gripe</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Incidence</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Incidencia</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza pandemic</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza-like syndrome</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Pandemia de gripe</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Síndrome gripal</Keyword>
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<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received">
<Year>2014</Year>
<Month>04</Month>
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<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="revised">
<Year>2014</Year>
<Month>07</Month>
<Day>08</Day>
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<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted">
<Year>2014</Year>
<Month>07</Month>
<Day>31</Day>
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<Month>10</Month>
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<li>Espagne</li>
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<noRegion>
<name sortKey="Bellido Blasco, Juan B" sort="Bellido Blasco, Juan B" uniqKey="Bellido Blasco J" first="Juan B" last="Bellido-Blasco">Juan B. Bellido-Blasco</name>
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<name sortKey="Arnedo Pena, Alberto" sort="Arnedo Pena, Alberto" uniqKey="Arnedo Pena A" first="Alberto" last="Arnedo-Pena">Alberto Arnedo-Pena</name>
<name sortKey="Ballester Rodriguez, Isabel" sort="Ballester Rodriguez, Isabel" uniqKey="Ballester Rodriguez I" first="Isabel" last="Ballester-Rodríguez">Isabel Ballester-Rodríguez</name>
<name sortKey="Cayla Buqueres, Joan A" sort="Cayla Buqueres, Joan A" uniqKey="Cayla Buqueres J" first="Joan A" last="Caylà-Buqueres">Joan A. Caylà-Buqueres</name>
<name sortKey="Herrero Carot, Concha" sort="Herrero Carot, Concha" uniqKey="Herrero Carot C" first="Concha" last="Herrero-Carot">Concha Herrero-Carot</name>
<name sortKey="Meseguer Ferrer, Noemi" sort="Meseguer Ferrer, Noemi" uniqKey="Meseguer Ferrer N" first="Noemí" last="Meseguer-Ferrer">Noemí Meseguer-Ferrer</name>
<name sortKey="Pardo Serrano, Francisco" sort="Pardo Serrano, Francisco" uniqKey="Pardo Serrano F" first="Francisco" last="Pardo-Serrano">Francisco Pardo-Serrano</name>
<name sortKey="Romeu Garcia, M Ngeles" sort="Romeu Garcia, M Ngeles" uniqKey="Romeu Garcia M" first="M Ngeles" last="Romeu-García">M Ngeles Romeu-García</name>
<name sortKey="Silvestre Silvestre, Ester" sort="Silvestre Silvestre, Ester" uniqKey="Silvestre Silvestre E" first="Ester" last="Silvestre-Silvestre">Ester Silvestre-Silvestre</name>
<name sortKey="Tirado Balaguer, M Dolores" sort="Tirado Balaguer, M Dolores" uniqKey="Tirado Balaguer M" first="M Dolores" last="Tirado-Balaguer">M Dolores Tirado-Balaguer</name>
</country>
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